In the past, I have illustrated a few ratios that have measured investor sentiment on future stock market direction.
In this post, I will add another, the relative strength between the consumer discretionary sector (XLY ) and consumer staples(XLP).
Historically when the consumer discretionary sector (XLY) outperforms the discretionary sector(XLP), the overall market (SPY) has been bullish.
The relative strength swap doe not always indicates a change, but the trade-off is always worth noticing.
The following is the relative strength of XLY vs XLP with the SPY as of the close of Monday, January 9, 2023.
As illustrated, XLP is still doing better than XLY.