PayPal versus Visa

I am a subscriber to Seeking Alpha which during the day updates its readers with many blurbs about what the Wall Street research is telling their readers.

This morning, September 21, 2022, I received the following:

  • Bank of America has added PayPal Holdings (NASDAQ:PYPL) and removed Visa (NYSE:V) to its US 1 list, which represents the firms best investment ideas from its Buy-rated, U.S.-listed stocks. BofA keeps its buy rating on Visa.

  • In Wednesday premarket trading, PayPal (PYPL) has gained 0.6%, and Visa (V) was up 0.2%.

  • By contrast, SA’s Quant system, which historically outperforms the market, has a Hold rating on PayPal (PYPL) as well as on Visa (V).

I have charted the relative performance of PYPL vs V over the last few monthe with the results below.

The swap between PYPL and V should have happened on July 22, 2022

 

SNAP dissapoints everyone.

SNAP, the provider of Snapchat over the past year has reported negative news after negative news. Now there is some news about its compensation practices which put into question more questions about the future viability of the company.

The attached charts illustrate the stock journey. Prices are as of the close of Monday, August 1, 2022

 

Early Warning Indicator

SHOPify in news

SHOP has been in the news lately regarding the acquisition of a logistic company.

Prices are as of the close of Friday, May 6, 2022.

As in all previous illustrations, Green lines are periods of LONG, Red lines show periods of SHORT, and Blue lines are periods of NO POSITION.

The weekly is the dominant signal. So in this example, the only possible daily position in the year 2022 is SHORT.

 

ARK Innovation ETF ARKK

Like many investors, I was impressed by the incredible upside performance of Cathie Wood’s ETF  ARKK  in 2020.

The holdings include Tesla, Zoom, Roku, Teledoc Health, and Coinbase Global.

With the exception of Telsa, most are down a considerable amount this year.

Despite the large underperformance of ARKK, many investors are staying the course, according to Monday’s (April 25, 2022)  Wall Street Journal.

The following Monthly and Daily chart of ARKK portrays the recent price decline.

Price is as of the close today, Tuesday, April 26, 2022.

AbbVie Earnings coming next week.

“Wall Street expects a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when AbbVie (ABBV) reports results for the quarter ended March 2022. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company’s earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.

The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on April 29. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower.” Zacks Equity Research, April 22, 2022

The following pictures of ABBV Daily and Weekly show that some expect lower results than projected. Prices are as of the close of Friday, April 22, 2022.

The weekly chart is the dominant position.  The green line indicates BUY. The RED line indicates SELL, and the BLUE line indicates CLOSE position.

As in all past posts, When and only when the Weekly indicates BUY, then if the daily is also Green, the position should be long. The BLUE line indicates CLOSE position.

SHW revisited. Swing Trading at its best.

As many of my readers know, I have been following Sherwin Williams for many years. It qualifies in most metrics as a solid company financially and has been an outstanding holding in many portfolios.

The caveat is that if you have the ability to adjust your potfolio when certain stocks are not gaining at price but declining, then SHW has been in and out of your portfolio many times in the past few years.

Using the weekly price action as the guide and the daily price action as your trigger, the following charts are a good example of good timing in SHW.

As usual, green lines represent the time of being long on the weekly, if only the daily agrees.

 

Long-only from April of 2020 until the end of January 2021. Then long-only from April of 2021 until Mid January 2022. Short only from February 11, 2022.

The daily charts are the actual trade trigger.

 

This is an example of how swing trading is supposed to work. Prices are as of the close on Friday, March 11, 2022.

PayPal

Paypal has been one of the more active stocks for the last few weeks.

Obviously, someone or a group of someone had a head start on the decline.

The following graph of the weekly activity should be helpful in coming to that conclusion.

In October of 2021, the decline began.

The daily chart should through further light.

As in all previous charts, the red line signifies SELL, the Green line, BUY, and the Blue line indicates close out the previous position

Netflix Peloton

Recently, earnings and comments from Netflix and Peloton have resulted in severe losses for many investors.

Forwarned is forearmed.

Attached are recent graphs of both as of the close of Friday, January 21, 2022.

Swing trading versus Day Trading

An interested viewer of this blog recently inquired whether the Swingtrader indicators would be appropriate for Day Trading.

The following example of today’s  December 27, 2021, activity in TSLA should answer the question, YES!